Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-15 0.004740 0.005249 0.005777 0.006364 0.006998 0.007661 0.008405
2024-12-22 0.003994 0.004725 0.005521 0.006450 0.007500 0.008645 0.009985
2024-12-29 0.003592 0.004456 0.005432 0.006609 0.007980 0.009521 0.011372
2025-01-05 0.003296 0.004257 0.005376 0.006762 0.008420 0.010325 0.012665
2025-01-12 0.002903 0.003899 0.005092 0.006608 0.008466 0.010646 0.013377
2025-01-19 0.002628 0.003656 0.004920 0.006564 0.008621 0.011080 0.014213
2025-01-26 0.002364 0.003404 0.004715 0.006458 0.008680 0.011385 0.014885
2025-02-02 0.002170 0.003226 0.004588 0.006435 0.008832 0.011794 0.015682
2025-02-09 0.001995 0.003058 0.004461 0.006400 0.008958 0.012166 0.016431
2025-02-16 0.001904 0.002999 0.004471 0.006539 0.009308 0.012821 0.017543
2025-02-23 0.001749 0.002837 0.004332 0.006469 0.009375 0.013110 0.018189
2025-03-02 0.001627 0.002715 0.004239 0.006454 0.009508 0.013483 0.018944
2025-03-09 0.001583 0.002707 0.004309 0.006672 0.009971 0.014308 0.020320
2025-03-16 0.001499 0.002634 0.004284 0.006754 0.010249 0.014895 0.021397
2025-03-23 0.001446 0.002606 0.004318 0.006919 0.010642 0.015640 0.022694
2025-03-30 0.001396 0.002576 0.004349 0.007078 0.011028 0.016379 0.023992
2025-04-06 0.001267 0.002412 0.004168 0.006919 0.010957 0.016491 0.024443
2025-04-13 0.001177 0.002305 0.004069 0.006873 0.011042 0.016816 0.025185
2025-04-20 0.001079 0.002178 0.003931 0.006763 0.011028 0.016997 0.025729
2025-04-27 0.001008 0.002092 0.003853 0.006739 0.011136 0.017350 0.026512
2025-05-04 0.000940 0.002006 0.003770 0.006702 0.011223 0.017671 0.027252
2025-05-11 0.000913 0.001991 0.003802 0.006847 0.011582 0.018384 0.028553
2025-05-18 0.000846 0.001899 0.003701 0.006774 0.011610 0.018620 0.029180